The easiest way to look at this is to consider the probability of not getting a card, which is 98.9%. However, this average event probability is still fairly low. Since we tend to focus on the average, we are tempted to say that would need to buy 91 packs in order to pack one of these cards.
According to the information provided at that time, there were 1,1% chances of pulling at least one Rulebreaker player from that pack. During the Rulebreakers promotion, one of the first FIFA 21 events, Prime Gold Players Packs were made available on the FUT store. Let’s look at an example to understand better why we are limited. Unfortunately, nothing of this is possible because the data provided by Electronic Arts is not good enough. Wouldn’t be great to know what are the chances of packing an Icon or any other player? What about knowing how much we have to spend, on average, to pull a specific card? We would also love to calculate the average return estimated value for every pack. PACK NAMEįUT Pack Odds was a great step but we would like to go further. For that reason, we used average odds on this table that may differ from the ones you see in-game. In the last months of the season, for example, you will have more chances to pack a high rated item but just because there are more rated cards than when the game was released. Please, be aware that odds are updated regularly and you will find a few differences depending on when you checked. You would also have decent chances to pull one or more 82+ rated players and you would have 4,2% chances to find at least one 86+ rated player there.ĮA has made public the probabilities of more than 20 packs and we have compiled them all in a single table. Taking the pack of the above image as an example, it’s guaranteed that you would find at least one gold player when opening a Prime Gold Players Pack. They will probably change the way how they show this information in the coming titles or they will need to use another strategy to convince gambling regulators that there is nothing wrong with FUT. As you will see later on this article, the pack probability that EA is revealing is not transparent enough. In some packs, the rarity of this content category may be less than 1%, and within that there will be a wide range of probabilities.Įven disclosing FIFA 21 pack odds, Electronic Arts was banned from selling FIFA Points in Belgium with more countries, like Netherlands and Germany, ready to follow the same steps. Some specific campaigns, like Team of the Year, feature rare content. Before buying a pack, you can see not only the probabilities of that pack but also the date the last percentage was calculated at. The Probabilities are updated regularly during the year, especially during promotions, to indicate the chances of opening higher rated players. EA then re-run this process with every content update. The number of packs opened in a simulation varies based on rarity, but it will always be enough to be statistically valid. If you flip a coin three times and get heads each time, you still have a 50% chance of getting heads if you flip the coin again.įIFA 21 Pack Odds are calculated by simulating the opening of a very large number of packs, for each pack in the Store. That means that each pack opening is an independent event opening multiple packs does not change the likelihood of being awarded an item from a specific category. For example, if a category and rating have a 100% probability, you’re guaranteed to receive at least one item within that category.Īny probability percentages that you see are on a pack-by-pack basis and are not cumulative. The percentages that you see are the minimum probability of getting one or more players in the ratings range and category listed. Because there are thousands of player items in FUT, they are categorized by item type and rating.
#RARE ELECTRUM PLAYERS PACK WORTH FIFA 21 PC#
You can check for yourself the pack odds going to the store screen, highlighting the pack you wanna know and selecting ‘Show Pack Probabilities’ (space on PC options on consoles). EA believes that providing you with this information will help you make decisions on where you want to invest your FIFA Points, FUT Coins and time in order to build your best FUT squad. This was to make it more transparent when buying points on the store to purchase packs and highlights just how rare some players are. In other words, pack probabilities detailed the likelihood of what you get in every pack that you purchase. It was in FIFA 19 that EA revealed the odds of getting a highly-rated player in every pack available on the FUT store. Find out the probability of any pack and how you can use FIFA 21 pack odds for your own good. It is possible to see in-game what are your chances of pulling a premium player before opening a pack on the FUT store.
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